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Red435
7056150.3
5501179.4
4776174.9
Blue227
3875143.9
4956155.8
5162114.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072730100200500600700435227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.40.4
178.7178.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
red by 23.6
4956
#11
155.81.0
152.7153.8
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End11.0
Second
174.91.2
178.3177.1
Auto20.3
Teleop132.3
End23.4
red by 31.0
3875
#18
143.91.1
150.0149.0
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
Third
150.30.3
145.9146.2
Auto18.8
Teleop104.4
End26.8
red by 36.1
5162
#16
114.20.1
116.2116.2
Auto17.2
Teleop85.3
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed