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Red368
494170.8
5448104.1
4855184.3
Blue299
9999119.2
5926108.6
725496.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3831570100200300500600700368299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.30.4
186.6186.2
Auto21.6
Teleop137.4
End22.5
red by 65.1
119.23.8
105.7109.5
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Second
494
#8
170.82.9
176.3173.4
Auto17.5
Teleop138.8
End16.9
red by 62.2
5926
#14
108.61.2
100.4101.6
Auto15.3
Teleop81.0
End13.5
Third
5448
#12
104.12.8
110.1107.3
Auto15.0
Teleop73.8
End17.3
red by 7.3
7254
#19
96.82.3
104.0101.7
Auto16.9
Teleop68.2
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned1%Face the Boss oddsMissed