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Red296
7211149.3
5260126.5
5084141.4
Blue433
2054169.5
1918203.4
5501179.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224430100300400500600700296433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#15
149.31.8
150.9149.1
Auto15.3
Teleop113.6
End20.4
blue by 54.2
203.42.0
207.5205.4
Auto21.0
Teleop154.7
End26.5
Second
141.40.7
141.9141.2
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
blue by 38.0
179.40.4
178.4178.7
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
Third
5260
#10
126.53.2
133.6130.4
Auto14.1
Teleop96.5
End14.5
blue by 43.0
2054
#13
169.54.5
185.0180.5
Auto21.3
Teleop122.5
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed88%Face the Boss oddsEarned