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Red153
9999119.2
4855184.3
3875143.9
Blue436
3536188.0
4956155.8
7211149.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31735902006008001,000153436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.30.2
186.2186.4
Auto21.6
Teleop137.4
End22.5
blue by 3.7
188.00.2
183.8184.0
Auto23.0
Teleop137.5
End26.8
Second
3875
#18
143.91.2
149.0147.7
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
blue by 11.8
4956
#11
155.80.5
153.8154.3
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End11.0
Third
119.21.5
109.5111.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
blue by 30.1
7211
#15
149.30.6
149.1148.5
Auto15.3
Teleop113.6
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed