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Red358
5256121.2
7056150.3
2054169.5
Blue309
725496.8
5260126.5
5501179.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338322200250300350400358309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#13
169.53.3
177.2173.9
Auto21.3
Teleop122.5
End21.1
blue by 9.9
179.40.6
178.7179.3
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
Second
150.31.7
147.1148.8
Auto18.8
Teleop104.4
End26.8
red by 23.7
5260
#10
126.50.3
128.7128.4
Auto14.1
Teleop96.5
End14.5
Third
5256
#17
121.21.0
123.7122.7
Auto15.5
Teleop87.5
End14.4
red by 24.5
7254
#19
96.81.2
100.899.5
Auto16.9
Teleop68.2
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed