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Red254
5162114.2
5926108.6
4855184.3
Blue286
3875143.9
5448104.1
1918203.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321319200250300350400254286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.30.9
186.4185.5
Auto21.6
Teleop137.4
End22.5
blue by 19.2
203.40.1
204.2204.3
Auto21.0
Teleop154.7
End26.5
Second
5162
#16
114.20.9
115.7114.8
Auto17.2
Teleop85.3
End11.3
blue by 29.7
3875
#18
143.92.0
147.7145.7
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
Third
5926
#14
108.62.2
103.6105.8
Auto15.3
Teleop81.0
End13.5
red by 4.6
5448
#12
104.10.7
105.6104.8
Auto15.0
Teleop73.8
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed