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Qual 232018 FSU Roboday
Red235
4956155.8
7056150.3
725496.8
Blue418
9999119.2
494170.8
5260126.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28332905001,0001,500235418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#11
155.81.0
154.3→155.3
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End11.0
blue by 15.0
494
#8
170.80.3
171.1→170.8
Auto17.5
Teleop138.8
End16.9
Second
7056
#7
150.31.5
148.8→150.3
Auto18.8
Teleop104.4
End26.8
red by 23.7
5260
#10
126.50.8
128.4→127.6
Auto14.1
Teleop96.5
End14.5
Third
7254
#19
96.81.5
99.5→98.1
Auto16.9
Teleop68.2
End10.9
blue by 22.4
9999
#3
119.20.7
111.2→111.9
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned