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Red359
6340142.5
6919135.5
4730108.0
Blue294
6471138.8
5632106.3
3329107.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782670100200400500600359294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.50.2
141.4141.6
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
red by 3.8
6471
#13
138.80.6
138.2138.8
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
Second
135.50.2
134.5134.7
Auto21.1
Teleop103.0
End12.2
red by 28.5
3329
#16
107.10.2
106.9107.1
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End6.8
Third
4730
#24
108.00.5
109.6109.0
Auto13.1
Teleop81.2
End12.3
red by 1.7
106.30.2
106.1106.3
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2