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Red419
4941146.6
1648149.4
5848109.3
Blue101
6177134.4
4468134.3
4240101.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340228100200300400500600419101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.6
145.5146.0
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 15.0
6177
#17
134.40.1
134.3134.4
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
Second
146.60.1
144.9145.0
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
red by 12.3
4468
#12
134.30.2
133.9134.2
Auto16.7
Teleop101.5
End17.1
Third
5848
#19
109.31.0
113.2112.2
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
red by 7.8
4240
#25
101.40.3
102.1101.8
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5