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Red359
4941146.6
1648149.4
5848109.3
Blue156
6177134.4
4468134.3
4240101.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347219100300400500600359156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.6
146.0146.6
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 15.0
6177
#17
134.40.0
134.4134.4
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
Second
146.60.2
145.0145.2
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
red by 12.3
4468
#12
134.30.1
134.2134.3
Auto16.7
Teleop101.5
End17.1
Third
5848
#19
109.30.8
112.2111.4
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
red by 7.8
4240
#25
101.40.4
101.8101.4
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5