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Red462
1683129.6
4026144.3
3635109.8
Blue116
6341138.6
4193101.2
5840105.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328222100300400500600462116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.30.6
141.7142.3
Auto17.0
Teleop115.2
End12.9
red by 5.7
6341
#11
138.60.1
138.4138.5
Auto14.3
Teleop107.0
End16.8
Second
129.60.3
127.9128.3
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
red by 24.2
5840
#15
105.40.3
104.8105.1
Auto12.3
Teleop84.6
End9.5
Third
3635
#21
109.80.2
110.2109.9
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
red by 8.5
4193
#10
101.20.2
100.8101.0
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9