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Red26
582883.0
4193101.2
6177134.4
Blue368
5632106.3
6919135.5
6340142.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21729310040050026368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6177
#17
134.40.1
140.1140.2
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
blue by 8.2
142.50.8
129.8129.0
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
Second
4193
#10
101.20.3
100.199.9
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
blue by 34.3
135.52.1
120.3122.3
Auto21.1
Teleop103.0
End12.2
Third
5828
#26
83.00.1
101.0100.8
Auto11.5
Teleop71.2
End0.8
blue by 23.3
106.30.2
102.8102.6
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed