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Red218
1648149.4
7315104.4
6471138.8
Blue270
5848109.3
3581141.3
3329107.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270231100150200250300350400218270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.2
132.9132.7
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 8.1
141.30.1
124.8124.7
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
Second
6471
#13
138.80.0
128.8128.8
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
red by 29.5
5848
#19
109.35.1
104.7109.8
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
Third
7315
#18
104.43.4
103.1106.5
Auto14.1
Teleop81.4
End5.9
blue by 2.7
3329
#16
107.10.9
109.9110.7
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed