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Red382
5074108.4
4026144.3
6829145.8
Blue254
4941146.6
4240101.4
6341138.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248315100200400500382254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.81.5
118.8120.3
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
blue by 0.8
146.63.9
129.8133.8
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
Second
144.30.8
116.3117.1
Auto17.0
Teleop115.2
End12.9
red by 5.7
6341
#11
138.60.2
135.5135.7
Auto14.3
Teleop107.0
End16.8
Third
5074
#20
108.42.4
113.8111.3
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
red by 7.0
4240
#25
101.40.7
101.1101.7
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed