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Red242
4240101.4
6340142.5
6177134.4
Blue332
5840105.4
6471138.8
3581141.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275255100150200300350400450242332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.52.1
129.0131.1
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
red by 1.3
141.30.2
124.7124.9
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
Second
6177
#17
134.41.2
140.2139.0
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
blue by 4.4
6471
#13
138.80.2
128.8128.9
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
Third
4240
#25
101.40.3
101.7101.4
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5
blue by 4.0
5840
#15
105.40.2
96.296.5
Auto12.3
Teleop84.6
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed