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Red313
4730108.0
1648149.4
1683129.6
Blue253
6919135.5
5848109.3
6829145.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263302150200350400450313253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.0
132.7132.7
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 3.6
145.82.4
120.3122.7
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
Second
129.60.6
118.1118.7
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
blue by 5.9
135.52.6
122.3124.9
Auto21.1
Teleop103.0
End12.2
Third
4730
#24
108.02.9
106.2109.0
Auto13.1
Teleop81.2
End12.3
blue by 1.3
5848
#19
109.34.2
109.8114.0
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed