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Red75
5632106.3
4240101.4
4468134.3
Blue190
3635109.8
7315104.4
4941146.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23831310020040050060075190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#12
134.30.9
138.1137.1
Auto16.7
Teleop101.5
End17.1
blue by 12.3
146.62.9
137.0139.9
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
Second
106.31.1
103.3104.4
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2
blue by 3.5
3635
#21
109.81.0
119.7120.6
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
Third
4240
#25
101.42.2
101.8103.9
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5
blue by 2.9
7315
#18
104.41.3
112.3113.6
Auto14.1
Teleop81.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed