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Red198
5848109.3
1683129.6
4193101.2
Blue315
1261120.3
6341138.6
4026144.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236321100200400500600198315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.61.7
119.8121.5
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
blue by 14.7
144.33.3
125.4128.7
Auto17.0
Teleop115.2
End12.9
Second
5848
#19
109.32.3
117.0119.2
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
blue by 29.3
6341
#11
138.60.2
136.1135.9
Auto14.3
Teleop107.0
End16.8
Third
4193
#10
101.20.7
98.098.7
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
blue by 19.1
1261
#14
120.34.5
123.8119.3
Auto15.9
Teleop91.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed