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Red198
6340142.5
5840105.4
3329107.1
Blue293
6829145.8
5632106.3
6177134.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270272200220240260280300198293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.51.7
133.0134.7
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
blue by 3.3
145.82.7
124.7127.4
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
Second
3329
#16
107.10.9
111.2110.3
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End6.8
blue by 27.3
6177
#17
134.41.6
138.2136.6
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
Third
5840
#15
105.41.4
99.7101.1
Auto12.3
Teleop84.6
End9.5
blue by 0.9
106.30.2
104.4104.2
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed