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Red45
3635109.8
5074108.4
5848109.3
Blue331
6471138.8
582883.0
4026144.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230257010030040050060070045331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#21
109.81.7
120.6119.0
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
blue by 34.6
144.33.1
128.7131.8
Auto17.0
Teleop115.2
End12.9
Second
5848
#19
109.30.4
119.2119.6
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
blue by 29.5
6471
#13
138.80.7
130.2130.9
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
Third
5074
#20
108.40.5
110.5111.0
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
red by 25.5
5828
#26
83.03.9
93.089.1
Auto11.5
Teleop71.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed