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Red239
3581141.3
6177134.4
4730108.0
Blue294
1683129.6
4941146.6
5632106.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287278150200250350400450239294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.31.7
128.1129.8
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
blue by 5.3
146.60.1
139.9139.8
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
Second
6177
#17
134.41.1
136.6135.5
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
red by 4.7
129.60.9
121.5122.4
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
Third
4730
#24
108.00.6
113.2112.5
Auto13.1
Teleop81.2
End12.3
red by 1.7
106.30.0
104.2104.2
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed