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Red359
6340142.5
4468134.3
6471138.8
Blue201
4193101.2
1261120.3
451698.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3571500100200300400500359201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.50.1
134.7134.8
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
red by 22.2
1261
#14
120.31.6
119.3117.7
Auto15.9
Teleop91.7
End10.2
Second
6471
#13
138.81.6
130.9132.5
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
red by 37.5
4193
#10
101.20.0
98.798.7
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
Third
4468
#12
134.33.2
137.1133.9
Auto16.7
Teleop101.5
End17.1
red by 35.9
4516
#22
98.41.3
98.497.2
Auto12.1
Teleop77.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed