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Red177
470198.6
3635109.8
3329107.1
Blue381
6829145.8
4240101.4
5840105.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522350100200300400500600177381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#21
109.83.3
119.0115.7
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
blue by 36.1
145.82.4
127.4129.8
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
Second
3329
#16
107.11.1
110.3109.2
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End6.8
red by 1.7
5840
#15
105.40.0
101.1101.1
Auto12.3
Teleop84.6
End9.5
Third
4701
#23
98.61.5
104.4102.9
Auto13.0
Teleop77.1
End7.0
blue by 2.8
4240
#25
101.41.1
103.9102.8
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed