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Red424
1261120.3
4941146.6
3581141.3
Blue240
6177134.4
451698.4
6471138.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336247100200300400500424240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.60.8
139.8140.6
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
red by 7.9
6471
#13
138.82.0
132.5134.5
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
Second
141.31.4
129.8131.2
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
red by 6.9
6177
#17
134.40.9
135.5134.7
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
Third
1261
#14
120.30.7
117.5118.2
Auto15.9
Teleop91.7
End10.2
red by 21.9
4516
#22
98.40.0
97.297.2
Auto12.1
Teleop77.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed