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Red396
6829145.8
3581141.3
5074108.4
Blue96
6340142.5
6919135.5
4730108.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32828310020040050039696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.81.0
141.9142.9
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
red by 3.3
142.50.4
141.9142.3
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
Second
141.30.7
138.2138.9
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
red by 5.7
135.50.4
135.0135.3
Auto21.1
Teleop103.0
End12.2
Third
5074
#20
108.40.0
107.9107.9
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
red by 0.4
4730
#24
108.00.3
108.6108.3
Auto13.1
Teleop81.2
End12.3