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Red285
6829145.8
3581141.3
5074108.4
Blue251
6340142.5
6919135.5
4730108.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338271200300400500600285251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.81.0
142.9143.9
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
red by 3.3
142.50.3
142.3142.5
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
Second
141.30.8
138.9139.7
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
red by 5.7
135.50.2
135.3135.5
Auto21.1
Teleop103.0
End12.2
Third
5074
#20
108.40.1
107.9108.1
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
red by 0.4
4730
#24
108.00.4
108.3108.0
Auto13.1
Teleop81.2
End12.3