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Red397
1648183.8
1102200.6
2415143.0
Blue111
4188172.5
4189159.8
4941163.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379317200500600700397111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
200.60.5
199.5200.0
Auto19.6
Teleop152.0
End29.6
red by 28.1
4188
#11
172.50.3
172.2172.4
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
Second
1648
#10
183.80.1
183.6183.6
Auto19.9
Teleop143.9
End19.7
red by 20.2
4941
#24
163.60.0
163.8163.8
Auto18.0
Teleop129.5
End14.8
Third
2415
#23
143.00.1
143.1143.0
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
blue by 16.8
159.80.2
159.6159.8
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5