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Red260
1746157.2
6177144.2
1683141.7
Blue337
1311155.7
4459128.5
1002139.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301321100200400500600260337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#28
157.20.3
156.9157.2
Auto14.8
Teleop129.7
End13.3
red by 1.5
1311
#14
155.70.5
153.5154.0
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
Second
144.20.0
144.2144.2
Auto25.2
Teleop101.5
End15.2
red by 4.6
1002
#22
139.60.4
137.9138.3
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
Third
1683
#15
141.70.6
141.1141.7
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
red by 13.2
128.50.5
126.5127.0
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7