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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Peachtree District State Championship
Red404
4910218.8
1414178.2
4468149.0
Blue193
3998161.7
4026154.8
1771105.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4292510100200300500600700800404193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#8
218.80.2
219.7→219.5
Auto23.8
Teleop166.1
End27.9
red by 57.1
3998
#12
161.70.2
162.1→161.9
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
Second
1414
#4
178.20.1
178.1→178.2
Auto25.2
Teleop130.8
End21.5
red by 23.4
4026
#6
154.80.1
155.0→155.0
Auto20.5
Teleop124.9
End8.0
Third
4468
#30
149.00.2
148.6→148.8
Auto16.0
Teleop115.9
End16.1
red by 43.5
1771
#26
105.50.7
104.2→104.9
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5