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Semifinal 2-22018 Peachtree District State Championship
Red311
4188172.5
4189159.8
4941163.6
Blue262
1311155.7
4459128.5
1002139.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602790100200400500600700311262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#11
172.50.3
171.6→171.9
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
red by 16.8
1311
#14
155.70.6
154.6→155.1
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
Second
4941
#24
163.60.0
163.9→163.9
Auto18.0
Teleop129.5
End14.8
red by 24.0
1002
#22
139.60.5
138.7→139.1
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
Third
4189
#9
159.80.2
159.3→159.5
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5
red by 31.3
4459
#7
128.50.5
127.5→128.0
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7