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Quarterfinal 2-32018 Peachtree District State Championship
Red378
4910218.8
1414178.2
4468149.0
Blue166
3998161.7
4026154.8
1771105.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions431246100200300500600700378166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#8
218.80.2
219.5→219.3
Auto23.8
Teleop166.1
End27.9
red by 57.1
3998
#12
161.70.2
161.9→161.7
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
Second
1414
#4
178.20.1
178.2→178.3
Auto25.2
Teleop130.8
End21.5
red by 23.4
4026
#6
154.80.1
155.0→154.8
Auto20.5
Teleop124.9
End8.0
Third
4468
#30
149.00.2
148.8→148.9
Auto16.0
Teleop115.9
End16.1
red by 43.5
1771
#26
105.50.6
104.9→105.5
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5