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Red262
6705190.7
832177.9
5109126.0
Blue428
4188172.5
4189159.8
4941163.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341349200300400500600262428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.70.1
190.3190.4
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
red by 18.2
4188
#11
172.50.5
169.9170.4
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
Second
832
#2
177.90.1
177.7177.8
Auto19.2
Teleop133.4
End25.3
red by 14.3
4941
#24
163.60.1
163.8163.9
Auto18.0
Teleop129.5
End14.8
Third
5109
#27
126.00.3
125.1125.4
Auto17.1
Teleop97.4
End11.2
blue by 33.8
159.80.4
158.1158.5
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5