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Red420
6705190.7
832177.9
5109126.0
Blue270
4188172.5
4189159.8
4941163.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339351200250300400450500420270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.70.1
190.4190.5
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
red by 18.2
4188
#11
172.50.5
170.4170.9
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
Second
832
#2
177.90.0
177.8177.8
Auto19.2
Teleop133.4
End25.3
red by 14.3
4941
#24
163.60.1
163.9163.9
Auto18.0
Teleop129.5
End14.8
Third
5109
#27
126.00.3
125.4125.7
Auto17.1
Teleop97.4
End11.2
blue by 33.8
159.80.3
158.5158.8
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5