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Red349
1261131.0
1102200.6
4910218.8
Blue193
1311155.7
1771105.5
2974170.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions450226100300400500600700800349193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.82.0
225.8227.8
Auto23.8
Teleop166.1
End27.9
red by 48.3
2974
#18
170.51.0
165.0166.0
Auto27.8
Teleop129.6
End13.2
Second
200.62.3
171.9174.2
Auto19.6
Teleop152.0
End29.6
red by 44.9
1311
#14
155.71.8
142.2144.0
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
Third
1261
#17
131.00.5
131.8132.3
Auto19.0
Teleop97.7
End13.8
red by 25.4
1771
#26
105.50.4
92.092.4
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed