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Qual 92018 Peachtree District State Championship
Red170
6471148.6
4459128.5
584893.0
Blue371
4240127.3
3635140.0
5900110.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922610100200400500600700170371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6471
#16
148.61.9
140.6→142.5
Auto18.4
Teleop111.3
End23.7
red by 8.6
3635
#20
140.01.7
127.3→129.0
Auto18.4
Teleop112.7
End10.6
Second
4459
#7
128.50.7
120.8→121.5
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7
red by 1.2
4240
#38
127.31.0
117.9→118.9
Auto16.0
Teleop93.6
End19.8
Third
5848
#45
93.00.3
105.0→104.7
Auto13.9
Teleop74.8
End4.1
blue by 17.7
5900
#33
110.70.8
99.3→100.1
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed