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Qual 122018 Peachtree District State Championship
Red219
6829163.2
6887101.8
4112135.2
Blue390
3998161.7
6177144.2
6325112.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347282100200400500600219390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#21
163.20.3
171.7→172.0
Auto23.0
Teleop125.5
End13.2
red by 1.6
3998
#12
161.70.3
155.3→155.0
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
Second
4112
#31
135.20.8
139.8→140.6
Auto18.1
Teleop92.8
End22.2
blue by 9.0
6177
#3
144.21.6
121.7→123.3
Auto25.2
Teleop101.5
End15.2
Third
6887
#37
101.80.0
104.9→105.0
Auto16.5
Teleop80.3
End5.3
blue by 11.1
6325
#29
112.90.7
108.0→108.7
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed