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Red164
3581139.6
3573123.2
3815116.9
Blue374
6705190.7
1002139.6
2415143.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243344100200300400500600164374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3581
#34
139.61.2
143.4144.6
Auto16.4
Teleop101.4
End23.2
blue by 51.0
190.71.6
188.7187.1
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
Second
3573
#39
123.20.2
126.4126.2
Auto16.8
Teleop89.2
End16.2
blue by 19.8
2415
#23
143.00.6
143.6143.0
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
Third
3815
#43
116.90.5
121.2120.7
Auto14.4
Teleop97.0
End6.1
blue by 22.7
1002
#22
139.60.7
134.6135.3
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed