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Red354
1311155.7
1683141.7
832177.9
Blue251
5900110.7
2974170.5
6925108.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375243200300500600700354251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#2
177.91.0
168.0168.9
Auto19.2
Teleop133.4
End25.3
red by 7.4
2974
#18
170.50.2
166.0166.2
Auto27.8
Teleop129.6
End13.2
Second
1311
#14
155.70.8
144.0144.8
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
red by 44.9
5900
#33
110.71.5
100.1101.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End9.9
Third
1683
#15
141.70.7
132.3133.1
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
red by 32.8
6925
#42
108.90.2
106.4106.6
Auto16.3
Teleop82.3
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed