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Red362
1002139.6
4941163.6
5482114.5
Blue255
2415143.0
6340142.8
4240127.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349285100200400500600362255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4941
#24
163.61.7
162.8164.5
Auto18.0
Teleop129.5
End14.8
red by 20.6
2415
#23
143.00.1
143.0142.9
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
Second
1002
#22
139.61.0
135.3136.3
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
blue by 3.2
6340
#32
142.80.1
141.3141.3
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
Third
5482
#41
114.51.7
126.8125.1
Auto15.7
Teleop89.2
End8.5
blue by 12.8
4240
#38
127.31.6
118.9120.6
Auto16.0
Teleop93.6
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed