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Red309
6325112.9
6341138.4
4026154.8
Blue222
3815116.9
4189159.8
4459128.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283280230250260270290300310309222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.80.9
154.6155.5
Auto20.5
Teleop124.9
End8.0
blue by 5.0
159.81.9
146.6148.5
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5
Second
6341
#40
138.41.0
138.1139.2
Auto15.5
Teleop107.3
End13.6
red by 9.9
128.50.2
121.5121.7
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7
Third
6325
#29
112.91.7
108.7110.3
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End11.4
blue by 4.0
3815
#43
116.90.9
120.7119.7
Auto14.4
Teleop97.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed