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Red387
1648183.8
6705190.7
7315104.3
Blue200
6919136.1
6887101.8
6471148.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366230100200300400500387200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.70.9
187.1186.2
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
red by 42.0
6471
#16
148.61.2
142.5143.7
Auto18.4
Teleop111.3
End23.7
Second
1648
#10
183.81.4
171.6172.9
Auto19.9
Teleop143.9
End19.7
red by 47.6
6919
#25
136.10.6
136.9136.2
Auto22.6
Teleop103.6
End8.1
Third
7315
#36
104.31.1
102.2101.2
Auto16.1
Teleop78.7
End11.4
red by 2.5
6887
#37
101.80.6
105.0104.4
Auto16.5
Teleop80.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed