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Red359
5332115.9
3998161.7
4459128.5
Blue319
1414178.2
1261131.0
671598.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232700100200400500600359319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3998
#12
161.70.9
155.0155.9
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
blue by 16.6
178.20.5
161.6162.1
Auto25.2
Teleop130.8
End21.5
Second
128.50.1
121.7121.7
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7
blue by 2.5
1261
#17
131.00.3
132.3132.0
Auto19.0
Teleop97.7
End13.8
Third
5332
#19
115.90.1
114.1114.2
Auto17.4
Teleop89.7
End9.8
red by 17.6
6715
#44
98.30.2
96.596.3
Auto15.6
Teleop70.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed