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Red250
2415143.0
4188172.5
1771105.5
Blue210
584893.0
6829163.2
4240127.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302490100200300400500600250210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#11
172.50.3
169.2168.9
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
red by 9.2
6829
#21
163.20.1
171.6171.5
Auto23.0
Teleop125.5
End13.2
Second
2415
#23
143.00.4
142.9142.4
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
red by 15.7
4240
#38
127.30.9
120.6121.5
Auto16.0
Teleop93.6
End19.8
Third
1771
#26
105.50.1
92.092.1
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
red by 12.5
5848
#45
93.01.7
104.1102.4
Auto13.9
Teleop74.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed