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Red143
1683141.7
6325112.9
3573123.2
Blue295
6887101.8
3329112.3
5109126.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297255100200400500600143295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#15
141.70.7
133.1133.8
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
red by 15.7
5109
#27
126.00.2
119.6119.8
Auto17.1
Teleop97.4
End11.2
Second
3573
#39
123.20.4
125.6125.2
Auto16.8
Teleop89.2
End16.2
red by 10.9
3329
#35
112.31.9
109.1111.0
Auto15.1
Teleop90.0
End7.3
Third
6325
#29
112.91.9
110.3112.2
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End11.4
red by 11.1
6887
#37
101.80.4
104.4103.9
Auto16.5
Teleop80.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed