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Red218
4188172.5
3329112.3
6925108.9
Blue370
4240127.3
3581139.6
3998161.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285299200250350400450218370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#11
172.50.4
168.9168.5
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
red by 10.8
3998
#12
161.71.4
157.3158.7
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
Second
3329
#35
112.32.0
111.0113.0
Auto15.1
Teleop90.0
End7.3
blue by 27.3
3581
#34
139.61.6
144.0142.4
Auto16.4
Teleop101.4
End23.2
Third
6925
#42
108.90.2
107.1107.3
Auto16.3
Teleop82.3
End9.2
blue by 18.4
4240
#38
127.30.7
121.5122.2
Auto16.0
Teleop93.6
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed