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Red224
4026154.8
4459128.5
4468149.0
Blue407
1102200.6
2415143.0
7315104.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311272100200400500224407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.80.3
156.8157.1
Auto20.5
Teleop124.9
End8.0
blue by 45.7
200.62.0
177.6179.6
Auto19.6
Teleop152.0
End29.6
Second
4468
#30
149.00.7
142.3143.0
Auto16.0
Teleop115.9
End16.1
red by 6.0
2415
#23
143.00.5
142.4141.9
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
Third
128.50.7
121.7122.3
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7
red by 24.2
7315
#36
104.31.1
100.799.6
Auto16.1
Teleop78.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed