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Red436
6919136.1
1771105.5
6177144.2
Blue182
6712112.2
5332115.9
1002139.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882690100200400500600700436182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.22.4
128.7131.1
Auto25.2
Teleop101.5
End15.2
red by 4.6
1002
#22
139.60.1
137.3137.4
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
Second
6919
#25
136.10.3
135.7135.4
Auto22.6
Teleop103.6
End8.1
red by 20.2
5332
#19
115.90.1
114.9114.8
Auto17.4
Teleop89.7
End9.8
Third
1771
#26
105.50.2
92.192.2
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
blue by 6.7
6712
#13
112.21.1
109.9108.8
Auto17.3
Teleop75.6
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed