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Red237
6471148.6
1311155.7
5900110.7
Blue287
6341138.4
832177.9
3573123.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3073390100200400500600700800237287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#14
155.70.5
145.6146.1
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
blue by 22.2
832
#2
177.90.9
169.9170.8
Auto19.2
Teleop133.4
End25.3
Second
6471
#16
148.60.9
144.6145.5
Auto18.4
Teleop111.3
End23.7
red by 10.3
6341
#40
138.40.3
140.6140.9
Auto15.5
Teleop107.3
End13.6
Third
5900
#33
110.71.4
103.1104.4
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End9.9
blue by 12.5
3573
#39
123.20.9
125.2124.3
Auto16.8
Teleop89.2
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed