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Red326
1648183.8
4112135.2
3635140.0
Blue305
6925108.9
6340142.8
6705190.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361281100200400500600326305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#10
183.81.5
174.5176.0
Auto19.9
Teleop143.9
End19.7
blue by 6.9
190.70.7
186.0186.8
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
Second
3635
#20
140.01.5
134.2135.7
Auto18.4
Teleop112.7
End10.6
blue by 2.8
6340
#32
142.80.1
141.0140.9
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
Third
4112
#31
135.21.1
140.2139.0
Auto18.1
Teleop92.8
End22.2
red by 26.3
6925
#42
108.90.0
107.3107.3
Auto16.3
Teleop82.3
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed