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Red346
1414178.2
6712112.2
4188172.5
Blue218
3815116.9
6887101.8
1683141.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362228100200300400500600346218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.21.8
163.2165.0
Auto25.2
Teleop130.8
End21.5
red by 36.5
1683
#15
141.70.7
133.7134.3
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
Second
4188
#11
172.50.5
168.5168.1
Auto21.7
Teleop130.4
End21.0
red by 55.6
3815
#43
116.90.1
117.9117.8
Auto14.4
Teleop97.0
End6.1
Third
6712
#13
112.21.1
108.8107.6
Auto17.3
Teleop75.6
End19.9
red by 10.4
6887
#37
101.80.1
104.0103.9
Auto16.5
Teleop80.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed